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Tuesday, December 01, 2009

Incorrectly Predicting the Future of the iPhone



Over at Money there is a great article titled The Great iPhone Death Watch  which contains great quotes predicting the failure of the iPhone and how it will not be successful from some really informed and smart people. It just shows that one cannot predict the future with much certainty.

Here are a couple of favorites:
“We’ve learned and struggled for a few years here figuring out how to make a decent phone. PC guys are not going to just figure this out. They’re not going to just walk in.”
--Palm CEO Ed Colligan, commenting on then-rumored Apple iPhone, 16 Nov 2006

"Five hundred dollars? Fully subsidized, with a plan? It is the most expensive phone in the world and it doesn’t appeal to business customers because it doesn’t have a keyboard which makes it not a very good email machine… So, I, I kinda look at that and I say, well, I like our strategy. I like it a lot.”
--Steve Ballmer, Microsoft CEO, 17 January 2007

“How do they deal with us?”>
--Ed Zander, Motorola CEO/Chairman 10 May 2007

“We Predict the iPhone will bomb. Which means that when the iPhone comes, Digg will likely be full of horror stories from the poor saps who camped out at their local AT&T store, only to find their purchase was buggier than a camp cabin.”Seth Porges, The Futurist, 7 June 2007

“God himself could not design a device that could live up to all the hype that the iPhone has gotten.”
--Harvard computer science professor David Platt, 25 June 2007
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